Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs: NBA Finals Game 4
This breakdown analyzes top player predictions for NBA Finals Game 4 between the New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs. Key insights point toward OG Anunoby props and Jalen Brunson props clearing their respective points and assists lines, while projecting Stephon Castle assists to confidently hit the under. Get the latest Knicks vs Spurs data and track performance trends directly on the HOF app
OG Anunoby 15+ Points
After scoring a postseason-high 28 points in the Game 3 loss to San Antonio, OG Anunoby props present strong value. Analyzing recent stat lines, the Spurs defense has allowed an average of 17 points to point forwards over the last 3 matchups against New York. This defensive exploitation, paired with Anunoby averaging 20 points across the last 5 games and 18.9 in the last 10, highlights steady offensive momentum. The 15-point line has been cleared in 100% of the last 5 games, making this a favorable target for a must-win NBA Finals game 4 at MSG.
Jalen Brunson O 30 points + Assists
Returning after a tough Game 3, Jalen Brunson props remain a focal point for Knicks vs Spurs predictions. Brunson has excelled against San Antonio all season, averaging 25 points and 4.5 rebounds head-to-head. Over the last 10 games, Brunson is averaging 6.5 assists, maintaining a steady 5-assist average over the last 5. For the points and assists line set at 30, the over has hit in seven of the last 10 outings. The Spurs defense is currently allowing 33.8 points to opposing point guards over their last 10 games, surrendering 37 points and assists to Brunson previously and 44 to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at the end of the OKC series. This defensive gap provides the necessary space for Brunson to remain an offensive powerhouse throughout the remainder of the series.
Dylan Harper O 20 PRA
Dylan Harper has been phenomenal throughout a standout rookie season, emerging as a critical factor in these playoffs. Comfortable in high-pressure situations, Harper has delivered consistent rebounds and assists over the last 10 matchups. When targeting a PRA (Points, Rebounds, Assists) of 20, the over has hit in all of the last 5 games. New York's defense is currently allowing 29.5 points to small guards. Harper is averaging 22.2 PRA over the last 10 games and 25 PRA in the last 5, while maintaining an average just above 20 PRA in head-to-head matchups. Despite expected heavy defensive pressure, elevated offensive capabilities in the postseason point toward successfully clearing this line.
Stephon Castle Under 6.5 Assists
While functioning as the primary distributor for most of the season, Stephon Castle assists have recently trended downward. Against the Knicks' defense over the last 3 matchups, the assist average has dropped to 5.4, with the assist percentage falling to 23% per point scored. Taking the under on 6.5 assists is heavily supported by recent performance metrics. In the last 5 games, Castle has struggled to surpass the seven-assist mark, clearing that specific line only twice all season against New York
Bonus Pick: Julian Champangie 2+ Threes
Consistently shooting from beyond the arc and catching fire at MSG just like when he was at St. Johns, Champangie has cashed at a 100% rate over the last 5 games. For bettors tracking streaks on the HOF app, this is a prime opportunity to lock in a confident prediction backed by historical HOF data.
